Meta Research Bulletin ©2006
If
asteroids and comets are the products of accretion from a nebula, or even from
collisional break-ups, they will invariably be isolated single bodies because
their gravitational fields are too weak to affect captures. For example, in a
break-up event, most debris escapes, and what does not falls back onto the
surface it was ejected from after one orbit. Even if it managed to barely miss
the surface, tidal forces would bring it back down in short order. When
asteroid satellite captures are simulated on computers, it is done by assuming
the catastrophic central breakup of a parent body with debris moving away along
radial lines. But that is actually a model for an explosion, not a collision.
By contrast, in the eph,
nearby space is filled with debris just after the explosion. Large fragments
will find lots of debris inside their gravitational spheres of influence, and
these will remain in stable orbits as permanent satellites of these larger
fragments. For that reason, I presented papers at the International
Astronomical Union meeting in Argentina in 1991, and the Flagstaff meeting of
asteroid, comet, and meteorite experts in that same year, pointing out the eph
prediction that asteroid satellites should be numerous and commonplace.
Specifically, the eph predicted that spacecraft soon to visit asteroids (or
comets) should find at least one of the larger debris bodies (satellites) in
orbit around the asteroid (or comet) primary nucleus. This prediction, also
published in [6] and [[8]], was
considered extremely unlikely by mainstream astronomers, one of whom made a public
wager with this author that it would not happen.
The Galileo spacecraft flew by
asteroid Ida in 1993, and returned images showing a 1-km satellite (now named
Dactyl) in a stable orbit around its nucleus. Since that discovery, several
dozen additional discoveries of satellites of other asteroids have been made. [[9]] The same has happened for TNO
asteroids, where only the largest of well-separated satellites can be detected.
Yet estimates are that at least 5% of all TNOs are binary. And this new data supplements
occultation and radar evidence of long standing showing probable asteroid
satellites. A year before the NEAR spacecraft went into orbit around
asteroid Eros in February 2000, I altered the general prediction of satellites
to a more specific one: If the gravity field of an asteroid is too irregular
for stable orbits to exist near the synchronous orbit (as is the case for
Eros), then the debris that once orbited the nucleus would now be found as
intact boulders lying on the asteroid surface. [[10]] These would be easy to identify
because of their tangential touchdown onto the asteroid, resulting in
considerable rolling from their orbital momentum. So “roll marks” were the
predicted identifier to show that boulders were former satellites.

The first image taken by the
spacecraft from orbit around Eros is shown in Figure
8. The two rectangles are areas where contrast was stretched for better
visibility of the “roll mark”. The image appears to show a track starting in a
random location, going up the outside wall of a crater, down the inside wall,
and ending in a 50-meter boulder. Many additional examples of boulders, tracks,
and boulders at the ends of tracks can be seen in later spacecraft images.
In the meantime, evidence for
comet satellites was mounting as well. The Giotto spacecraft was the
first to approach a comet, where it found “brightness concentrations” in the
inner coma referred to as “dust spikes”. [[11]]
Then Hubble Space Telescope observations of Comet Hale-Bopp showed at
least one, and probably three secondary nuclei orbiting the primary comet
nucleus. [5] Although this finding was controversial, the satellite
interpretation was subsequently confirmed as the most reasonable explanation by
other investigators. [[12]] The
largest of these secondary bodies is a 30-km satellite of an estimated 70-km
primary nucleus.
The standard models for
asteroids and comets did not predict asteroid satellites. No supporter of those
models credited even the reasonable possibility of asteroid or comet
satellites, except perhaps by extremely unlikely fluke circumstances, until the
first one was photographed. Since then, the mainstream models have struggled to
accommodate the finding that asteroid satellites, at least, are numerous and
commonplace, just as the eph confidently predicted.